Preference heterogeneity and willingness to pay for travel time

  1. Ortúzar Salas, Juan de Dios
  2. Amador Morera, Francisco Javier
  3. González Marrero, Rosa Marina
Revista:
Documentos de Trabajo Conjuntos: Facultades de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales

Año de publicación: 2004

Número: 12

Tipo: Documento de Trabajo

Resumen

We examined different model specifications to detect the presence of preference heterogeneity in a mode choice context. The specification that worked best allows for both systematic and random variations in tastes. Using parameters obtained at the individual level through Bayesian inference methods, subjective values of travel time (SVT) and expected individual compensated variation were derived and aggregated to obtain measures of social welfare. Results suggest that the benefit measures, both at the individual and at the social level, are sensitive to preference heterogeneity assumptions. SVT and welfare changes derived from travel time reductions could be underestimated if the traditional assumption of taste homogeneity is made (we detected differences up to 30% in both types of measures). We also obtained an empirical value for the error made when evaluating changes in social welfare using an approximation of the expected individual compensated variation (expressed as a function of individual SVT) rather than its exact expression.