Predictability and self-similarity in demand maturity of tourist destinationsThe case of Tenerife

  1. Francisco Flores Muñoz 1
  2. Josué Gutiérrez-Barroso 1
  3. Alberto Javier Báez-García 1
  1. 1 Universidad de La Laguna
    info

    Universidad de La Laguna

    San Cristobal de La Laguna, España

    ROR https://ror.org/01r9z8p25

Revista:
Cuadernos de economía: Spanish Journal of Economics and Finance

ISSN: 2340-6704,  0210-0266

Año de publicación: 2019

Volumen: 42

Número: 118

Páginas: 59-69

Tipo: Artículo

DOI: 10.32826/CUDE.V42I118.16 DIALNET GOOGLE SCHOLAR lock_openBiblos-e Archivo editor

Otras publicaciones en: Cuadernos de economía: Spanish Journal of Economics and Finance

Resumen

El objetivo de este trabajo es explorar el comportamiento de un destino turístico maduro, Tenerife, de acuerdo con el modelo Auto Regresivo y de Medias Móviles fraccional-mente integrado (ARfiMA por sus siglas en inglés). Este comportamiento se comparará con el de otros destinos en una escala geográfica creciente. Se podrán extraer diferentes conclusio-nes para la política turística a corto y largo plazo. La predictibilidad parece posible en el corto plazo. La auto-semejanza entre diferentes escalas geográficas también parece estar presente. Este artículo complementa las conceptualizaciones previas de los modelos TALC (Ciclo de Vida de las Áreas Turísticas) basadas en predicciones a largo plazo.

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